Category Archives: Predictions

Predictions for Games of December 3, 2016

Again, I hope you weren’t relying on my posting my predictions to place bets, since I didn’t post these predictions until after the Friday games were played (of course, all you need to calculate point spreads is right there on … Continue reading

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Predictions for Games of November 26, 2016

If you were counting on using my predictions to place your bets, I guess you’re out of luck, since I’m posting this on Saturday evening.  Or, more appropriately, you’re in luck, since xHPI has been an unreliable source of predictions … Continue reading

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Predictions for Game of November 19, 2016

Favorite Margin Underdog Ohio U. 1.24 Central Michigan Kent State 3.07 Bowling Green Toledo 20.91 Ball State Eastern Michigan 5.18 Northern Illinois Louisville 13.18 Houston Troy 18.82 Arkansas State Memphis 14.20 Cincinnati Boise State 28.23 UNLV Rice 1.95 UTEP Oklahoma … Continue reading

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Predictions for Games of November 12, 2016

Favorite Margin Underdog Eastern Michigan 4.30 Ball State Western Michigan 18.93 Kent State Akron 11.77 Bowling Green Toledo 11.44 Northern Illinois North Carolina 8.43 Duke Georgia Southern 16.19 Louisiana-Lafayette Utah 4.97 Arizona State Florida State 23.56 Boston College Alabama 41.89 … Continue reading

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Bowl Confidence Picks

Regular readers of xHPI know that I use my scoring to predict the outcome of games. Using a regression model, I use the relative rankings of the two teams in any game to produce a predicted point spread. The model … Continue reading

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October 31 Performance and November 7 Predictions

Another week, another set of essentially coin flips against the spread. However, performance in games outright remains a bright spot for xHPI. Against the Spread All games, week     26-26 (50.0%) All games, season    134-140-2 (48.9%) Best bets, week 2-3 … Continue reading

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October 24 Performance and October 31 Predictions

Meh.  Just meh. That’s how I’m feeling about xHPI’s performance last week. I think I’ve been clear that there are many reasons why xHPI might not perform well in predictions, particularly against the spread, but might still be a valid … Continue reading

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