Category Archives: Predictions

National Championship Game Scenarios

10:35 remaining in the first quarter– I promised this post last week, but just now have been able to run the numbers and post.  In most of the past few years, the national championship game (or what passed for one … Continue reading

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Confidence Picks for Bowl Season

I haven’t posted predictions this season. I have been keeping track, and the results have been downright ugly this year. I think it’s particularly dangerous to use xHPI to make bowl predictions, because so many factors other than the relative … Continue reading

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Recent Performance and Thanksgiving Weekend Predictions

I didn’t post performance results or predictions last week, so I’m posting two weeks’ worth of performance this week. xHPI is falling into a familiar pattern of alternating weeks of strong and weak performance against the spread. Those weeks tend … Continue reading

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11/9 Performance and 11/16 Predictions

Week 11 was a good week for xHPI. Its performance against the spread was the second best of the season, and it was a perfect 5-0 on best bets. For the season, xHPI has correctly predicted 60% of its best … Continue reading

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11/2 Performance and 11/9 Predictions

Another tough week for xHPI. After two strong weeks, xHPI finished 10 games below .500 in predictions against the spread. However, xHPI also turned in its best performance of the season in straight-up games.   Last Week Cumulative   W-L … Continue reading

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Rare Thursday Night Predictions

Tonight is a rare Thursday night, featuring two marquee games involving four of the top 12 teams in the country: Oklahoma at Baylor, and Oregon at Stanford. Since it’s an unusual event, I thought I’d do something unusual: provide special … Continue reading

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10/26 Performance and 11/2 Predictions

Another strong week of predictions brings xHPI up to the level of mediocre! Last week, xHPI did well in all areas: against the spread, straight-up, and in Best Bets.  Here’s a closer look: Last Week Cumulative W-L Percent W-L Percent … Continue reading

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